Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 107615.589389 113325.551197 119025.355549 125138.242393 131504.679767 137935.989355 144920.032663
2025-07-27 98769.927950 107563.109684 116576.056472 126493.515401 137088.251366 148055.899579 160256.204390
2025-08-03 91645.423225 102516.325205 113895.471003 126671.627266 140592.698805 155277.561831 171915.266417
2025-08-10 86292.059097 98730.152193 111980.834481 127109.519827 143864.433623 161812.493567 182452.083358
2025-08-17 81657.515056 95307.077989 110075.089297 127184.486753 146402.306558 167263.081418 191559.521219
2025-08-24 78518.787747 93282.136577 109475.774410 128480.034036 150091.589104 173822.709402 201768.537586
2025-08-31 74850.014089 90423.016460 107726.516838 128279.352334 151922.038135 178161.812377 209376.983949
2025-09-07 72707.183306 89170.488670 107676.850997 129896.789515 155720.179568 184652.447906 219380.334950
2025-09-14 70456.655451 87661.724967 107216.321694 130935.372131 158767.681734 190228.064817 228307.371921
2025-09-21 67927.318949 85701.566204 106119.664210 131130.357333 160750.414371 194515.792950 235711.142922
2025-09-28 65639.122570 83926.208928 105148.159096 131386.842757 162733.519292 198752.726783 243026.809649
2025-10-05 64658.361088 83670.220240 105935.622043 133694.705603 167116.476044 205792.330400 253646.566099
2025-10-12 63430.324969 83086.304513 106319.735546 135529.964983 170974.468131 212282.086612 263730.241249
2025-10-19 61864.635202 82028.235015 106082.468136 136578.184187 173869.710084 217634.295866 272496.910767
2025-10-26 59915.622079 80421.811954 105111.871759 136675.663732 175571.229880 221535.256538 279525.281759
2025-11-02 58257.145166 79119.985676 104462.919524 137120.160164 177658.618214 225879.456601 287086.278459
2025-11-09 56516.657229 77653.839312 103555.498298 137194.953849 179253.141251 229603.487893 293891.522630
2025-11-16 55489.246059 77062.733116 103712.238901 138571.811044 182441.546396 235267.843586 303079.332349
2025-11-23 53783.550673 75539.016199 102640.653118 138358.099776 183614.869917 238442.607967 309214.871225
2025-11-30 53038.792371 75241.848547 103108.539183 140078.225101 187203.985006 244600.903984 319050.876838
2025-12-07 52061.304421 74604.268640 103111.278245 141182.642935 190005.467288 249786.405352 327705.456835
2025-12-14 50742.234543 73472.828312 102440.017957 141389.976453 191646.975364 253517.950610 334559.055898
2025-12-21 49510.898446 72422.574913 101841.840270 141662.703336 193350.680628 257317.948759 341504.530487